Option Trading and the Global Macro Trader
One of the best things about being a global macro trader is that of being able to profit when things go crazy. Put another way global macro traders live for events that are covered in risk. If there is no risk then there is likely no reward. Of course blindly taking risks is a road to guaranteed ruin.
One of the first and most important risk management tools available to the macro trader is the practice of positions sizing. Position sizing is when you determine an optimal amount to risk on a trade. Obviously several factors can go into your position sizing algorithm. You can look at the probability of the trade working out. You can look at the over all risk versus reward ratio. And you can look at how much of your portfolio you want to risk. Obviously there are hundreds of potential variables that you can input into your position sizing model.
Once you have determined the right position size, or amount to risk on a given trade it is now time to look at how you can structure the trade to maximize your risk to reward and to cut off tail risk. What is tail risk? Tail risk is a term used to describe risks that fall outside of a normal distributed curve. Essentially a tail risk is something like a bomb going off in a major city or the CEO of a company getting arrested for fraud. Anything that can absolutely destroy a position is considered a tail risk.
Probably the simplest and most effective ways to cut off tail risk is to use options. If you are long volatility then you can profit from it whether you are using puts or calls. If on the other hand you are net shot of volatility then you are at the mercy of the markets and their wild and crazy fluctuations.
Options are very useful to cut off tail risk because they totally limit your risk while allowing for plenty of upside. In fact sometimes they provide a lot more bang for the buck then an outright stock position as they can have a lot of inherent leverage.
Of course as with anything there is a potential downside to using option to cut off tail risk. The risk is two fold. One is that you may be overpaying for the options. Depending upon the situation that may or may not matter but it is important to be aware of.
The other major risk is that your time horizon does not fit the trade. If you want to hold the position for years then move on and probably pass on using options. However if you want to hold it for weeks to months then go in and check them out as you can do a lot of risk reduction using options.
Ensure that in your trading you are doing everything possible to maximize your risk to reward ratio by paying the majority of the attention the risk management segment of trading. Are you trading for fun or praise, or are you trying to make money? - 23204
One of the first and most important risk management tools available to the macro trader is the practice of positions sizing. Position sizing is when you determine an optimal amount to risk on a trade. Obviously several factors can go into your position sizing algorithm. You can look at the probability of the trade working out. You can look at the over all risk versus reward ratio. And you can look at how much of your portfolio you want to risk. Obviously there are hundreds of potential variables that you can input into your position sizing model.
Once you have determined the right position size, or amount to risk on a given trade it is now time to look at how you can structure the trade to maximize your risk to reward and to cut off tail risk. What is tail risk? Tail risk is a term used to describe risks that fall outside of a normal distributed curve. Essentially a tail risk is something like a bomb going off in a major city or the CEO of a company getting arrested for fraud. Anything that can absolutely destroy a position is considered a tail risk.
Probably the simplest and most effective ways to cut off tail risk is to use options. If you are long volatility then you can profit from it whether you are using puts or calls. If on the other hand you are net shot of volatility then you are at the mercy of the markets and their wild and crazy fluctuations.
Options are very useful to cut off tail risk because they totally limit your risk while allowing for plenty of upside. In fact sometimes they provide a lot more bang for the buck then an outright stock position as they can have a lot of inherent leverage.
Of course as with anything there is a potential downside to using option to cut off tail risk. The risk is two fold. One is that you may be overpaying for the options. Depending upon the situation that may or may not matter but it is important to be aware of.
The other major risk is that your time horizon does not fit the trade. If you want to hold the position for years then move on and probably pass on using options. However if you want to hold it for weeks to months then go in and check them out as you can do a lot of risk reduction using options.
Ensure that in your trading you are doing everything possible to maximize your risk to reward ratio by paying the majority of the attention the risk management segment of trading. Are you trading for fun or praise, or are you trying to make money? - 23204
About the Author:
If you need actionable trading ideas then check out The Macro Trader It is a weekly global macro investor advisory publication with frequent intra-week updates for time-critical analysis and actionable trading ideas.
posted by X - Men @ 12:44 AM
0 Comments
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]
<< Home