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Friday, December 18, 2009

System Rules - ETF Trading System For Beginners

By Patrick Deaton

When you start trading you are going to find that there are many methods, strategies, and systems that look appealing. Some will seem very similar because they are hybrids of a long used ETF trading system. There are different rules of thought about systems among traders. Some people think that having a system and strategy are key to success. Other individuals don't think a system or strategy are necessary at all in ETF trading.

In'83, Richard Dennis and Michael Eckhardt decided to run an experiment to answer that simple question. Could people who had no experience at all with trading "learn" to trade successfully following a simple system. The experiment was called the Turtle System.

A lot of information was revealed by the study that was conducted that can be helpful to a new trader. Systems by their very nature are structured and simple. Step A leads to Step B, and so on. One important thing found was that many people don't actually follow the rules, or steps of a system.

One of the reasons that some people have problems with systems is that most have two elements involved. There is vector rotation and trend following. An ETF trading system may be very successful and consistently effective. But, a person who hates to follow trends or rotate their vectors will not stick with the system. They are also unlikely to follow the other rules of the system that would help them with exiting before losing points.

Since the study was done in '83, there have been many hybrids of the Turtle ETF trading system introduced. As with any system, this one also had some flaws that were discovered over time. However, the people using this system saw average annual returns of up to 80%. Those were the people that followed the rules of the system carefully. The people who didn't follow the rules of the system saw losses or no return.

When selecting a system you will want to fully understand the structure and rules that make the system effective. To see consistent gains from a system, it must be followed and paired with the strategy that will maximize its effectiveness. It must also be used in the right sectors. The effectiveness of a system in one ETF may be seriously different when used in another sector.

Some systems will work great with a particular type of ETF. That same ETF trading system will not be effective with other types of ETF. When you are deciding on an ETF trading system, look for the systems that fit with the vectors and ETFs that you are trading in. This will help to pair the system with the most effective strategy for that vector.

Knowing the history and consistency of a system is also important. There are many systems introduced that do not have a history of consistent effectiveness. The tendency for some is to start using a system without knowing it's average earnings ratio. By doing some research on a system before you start using it you will be able to set realistic goals on your returns. You will also be able to pair the most effective strategy with that system to maximize your results.

Talking to traders and professionals who have worked with different types of systems will be helpful in finding the ETF trading system that is most effective for you. It is important to match the system to your personality. If you are the type of person that doesn't like to do a lot of research and homework on vectors, systems, methods, strategies, etc., then you will want to find a system that is not depending on following trends and has a lot of rules. - 23204

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