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Thursday, September 24, 2009

Online Investing In Times Like Today

By Michele Perdue

Online investing is the act of investing money or funds in an online enterprise with the expectation of profit without the physical presence or meeting the parties involved. In early 90s and late 80s the fastest and only way to invest is either through telephone, fax or physical meeting, but with the advent of online investing, it is much easier and faster to invest comfortably while sitting in your room. However, it is worthy to note that E-trade in 1991 was the pioneers of online services via AOL and CompuServe services.

Steps to Online Investing

Capital: How much are you investing? It is advisable to start off with something small and then increase with time. Never invest what you cannot afford to lose, do not borrow or seek a loan for online investment, do not start off with your life savings. You can, however, start with as little as $250, learn the ropes and rules then thrown in more money.

Open an online account: When you have decided about how much to invest, the next step is to open an online virtual account. It can be a personal account like individual or joint, retirement account like IRA or Rollover. Check the pros and cons of each type of account and consider diligently the requirements and tax margins of each type.

Get a broker: Before choosing a broker, check for the broker?s insurance level, his past records, reputation, reliability and commission percentage.

Where to invest: You can choose either to invest on forex, securities, mutual funds or stocks. Take the time to do full research on both and to learn as much as you can about the companies, market and brokers before you invest.

Research, Read and get information. Armed with the above information, you are now ready to enter the online investing world, but still you need to keep yourself abreast with what is happening online at the investment world. You have to read the information and protect yourself from online fraud and protect yourself against identity theft and password phishing. - 23204

What Impacts the Price of a Stock? How Useful is Historical Data?

By Marv Doniger

There are a myriad of factors that are commonly used by investors to evaluate potential stock investments. These investment opportunities are often identified through the use of the numerous stock screeners that are readily available to investors. Common searches seek to identify companies that have a low Price Earnings, Price to Book Value, or Price to Cash Flow Ratio; high Dividend Yields; high Returns on Assets, Invested Capital, or Earnings; low Debt to Equity; and high Cash balances. In fact there are pre-defined stock screeners such as the Contrarian Strategy, Dogs of the Dow, Momentum Stocks, New 52-Week Highs, etc. that can be used to identify stocks in which to invest. The implicit assumption in using stock screeners is that there is a relationship between this data and the future performance of a stock. Should this assumption be valid then all one would have to do is run his/her magic screener and buy those stocks with his/her favorite criteria such as low Price Earnings Ratio and high Dividend Yield. In order to validate the premise that the data obtained from stock screeners influences the price of a company's stock, the change in the price of the Dow 30 Industrial stocks from 1999 to 2009 was compared to changes in the Returns they generated, their Financial Condition and Performance over that same time period. Returns included Returns on Equity, Invested Capital and Assets as well as Dividends paid to investors. Financial Condition included Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, along with Interest Coverage and Dividend Coverage. Performance included Sales, Earnings, Book Value and Cash Flow trends. A correlation analysis was conducted to determine the relationship of the price of each of the companies comprising the Dow Industrials and these factors. The hypothesis being that there was a statistically valid relationship between these factors.

As the following chart shows, dividends had a statistically significant impact on the change in the price of the stock of Exxon Mobil, Hewlett-Packard, Merck, and Verizon. It had a moderate impact on the price of the stock of Alcoa, Bank of America, DuPont, General Electric and JP Morgan Chase. Earnings had a strong impact on the price of Citigroup's and Exxon Mobil's stock. The stock price of Caterpillar, Chevron, Johnson & Johnson, McDonalds, Proctor & Gamble, and United Technologies was moderately impacted by earnings. Price changes in the stock of Exxon Mobil were statistically significantly impacted by its Dividends, Cash, Earnings, Book Value and Cash Flow and moderately impacted by its Return on Invested Capital, Dividend Coverage and Sales. Another company whose price movement could be partially explained by change in these factors is Caterpillar. There were moderately statistically significant relationships between its price and its Returns on Equity, Investment and Assets; its Interest and Dividend Coverage; as well as its Earnings and Cash Flow. Perhaps one of the most astonishing results is that there were no statistically meaningful relationships between the changes in the price of the stocks of 3M, American Express, AT&T, Boeing, Intel, IBM, Kraft, Microsoft, Pfizer, Coca-Cola, Home Depot, and Wal-Mart and the measures of Returns, Financial Condition, and Performance used in the analysis. To put it another way, the price movement of 40 percent of the Dow Industrials bore no statistically meaningful relationship to changes in these factors.

FACTORS AFFECTING STOCK PRICE of DOW 30 INDUSTRIALS RETURNS FINANCIAL CONDITION PERFORMANCE Dow 30 Components Company Equity Invested Capital Assets Dividends Current Ratio Debt to Equity Interest Coverage Dividend Coverage Cash Sales Earnings Book Value Cash Flow 3m Co Alcoa Inc ● American Express Company, AT&T Inc. Bank of America Corporation ● Boeing Co., Caterpillar Inc. ● ● ● ● ● ● ● Chevron Corp ●● ● ● ●● ● Citigroup, Inc. ●● ● E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Co ● Exxon Mobil Corp ● ●● ● ●● ● ●● ●● ●● General Electric Company ● General Motors Corporation ● Hewlett-Packard Co. ●● ● Intel Corporation International Business Machines Johnson & Johnson ● ● ● JP Morgan & Chase & Co ● Kraft Foods Inc. McDonald's Corporation ● ● Merck & Co., Inc. ●● Microsoft Corporation, Pfizer Inc, The Coca-Cola Company, The Home Depot, Inc. The Procter & Gamble Company ● ● ● ●● United Technologies Corporation ● ● ● Verizon Communications ●● Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. Impact ● Moderate ●● Significant Data Standard & Poor's

Based on the previous examination of the relationships between the price of the Dow Industrials stocks and certain measurements of their historical data, it should be apparent that stock screeners, in and of themselves, are not sufficient tools to use in selecting potential stock investments. Even if there were statistically significant relationships between the historical price movement and the data used in the stock screener, it does not mean that those relationships would continue in the future. Wall Street constantly warns that past performance is not indicative of future results, yet investors search the past to divine the future. It is like driving in traffic by looking through the rear view mirror and missing the collision ahead that is about to happen. As events of the past eighteen months have proven, highly improbable events can occur and inflict unforeseen casualties on investors. Since equity markets are supposedly discounting future events, investors should look through the windshield to see what is ahead of them and use the rear view mirror to see if the vehicle behind them has any relevance to their ultimate destination.

Marvin Doniger, Managing Partner of Doniger & Associates, is the author of A Common Sense Road Map to Uncommon Wealth, which is a treatise on managing careers and finances. His perspectives have been developed from his lifelong study of investing, his actual experiences as a registered representative, an individual investor, as well as from working for large companies in industry and as a management consultant to Fortune 500 companies. He is a leader in his industry. - 23204

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Forex Trading Training The Edge That's a Must

By Chris Green

Whether you are a new or long time running trader it is important to have the latest Forex trading training there is to offer. Today being the most talked about investment, it is no surprise with the massive profits traders make every day. People that are new to this scene wonder if they can truly make a full time income out of this type of market.

Long term income is possible if you keep up to day with the latest Forex trading training. One of the secrets of the big traders, is they keep them self trained with the latest systems, or techniques. There is nothing worse then a new trader making an uneducated trade that can quickly lead to a empty trading account. Knowing where you are on a trade is one of the most important things in this industry.

Having the most up to date Forex trading training has to be the first step to success. What times of day should I trade? What are the common pairs to be trading in? Should I trade on Fridays? These are all basic things you should know before you consider making a trade, with all these questions floating around in your head, it will be near impossible to figure out and focus on a trade. So you are asking yourself now, how can you solve this easily so that you can get to trading and make the bank? Well to start off, like I was saying, you need to get the latest training out there!

I have done a fair share of Forex trading training myself, and if you want to do well at it, you need to constantly be training, that's right, constantly be training. Training is the key to becoming an expert. In order to do something well, you have to know your stuff like the back of your hand. The reason people become successful or do well is by knowing their stuff. Who would you think is going to be a more successful person? The average trader that knows enough to get by, or the trained trader, that has trained tactical skills that make his trades very profitable. That's right; the trained trader is bringing home the higher profits.

Now I want you to stop and invest some time into Forex trading training. There are all kinds of little things that you can take a long time to figure out, where it would save a lot of time and money if it were taught to you. Why spend years learning from mistakes, when you can learn secrets of the market. Feel more confident about your trades, get the results you want out of your trades, and make the bank!! Be serious about your trades and take your profits to the next level with the latest training!! - 23204

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How To Learn Day Trading From The Pros

By Tim Hunt

A job as a day trader is a great way to make money in a very lucrative field. It is not, though, an easy way to get rich quick. You will need to put effort and work into it.

Day trading stocks and commodities is a great job and a quite profitable one as well. It requires certain traits for success, and certain habits will need to be internalized.

Time management is the first important habit. You must be able to wake up early and alert first thing in the morning and be ready to evaluate how you'll play the market that day. All of this must happen before the opening bell, which starts at 9:00 a.m. in New York, 6:00 a.m. in California, and 5:00 a.m. in Alaska and Hawaii. Getting out of bed early is only half the story; you'll also need to stay on schedule and have a good internal alarm clock. If you're the type who can't function before 11:00 a.m. or has to guzzle down multiple cups of coffee before facing the day, day trading may not be the job for you.

A second critical habit is a good set of numerical analysis skills. Making and losing money based on gut hunches is a given, but you'll also need to make educated choices based on what you've read, summarized, and synthesized so that you can make good judgments quickly with this background knowledge. All of this needs to be done fast, and you'll need to quickly judge trends in financial markets and apply these snap analyses to your trading decisions.

Let me just point out that you don't have to be a mathematician to be good at day trading. You can learn certain quantitative skills, even if you were never that great at math. Certain numerical skills will seem automatic to you once you've practiced them a bit.

A Third habit of successful day traders is the ability to make sharp observations, and to be patient when things don't pan out. Observations must be made quickly and with good short term memory. Though it can be hard, you must train yourself to stay calm even when you lose a trade, and just as importantly, keep your cool even when you make a winning trade.

Dedicated research is the fourth important habit for day traders. While you won't need to perform in depth analysis of accounting statements as in long term conventional investing, you will need to analyze the constant inflow and outflow of data to have a good knowledge base for making judgments on the fly. On the other hand, don't get so caught up in research that you lose the ability to think and act quickly.

Remember that you don't have to do all of this research and analysis alone. High level traders have many research tools and tricks, and various data analysis tools close by.

If you decide to pursue a career change in the field of day trading, you'll need to start by building a support team, including a broker, and some investors who can help you apply leverage to the market. Recognize that you will need to work, and it's a kind of work that requires focus, drive, and dedication.

If you think you may possess these skills and traits, day trading can offer a thrilling way of earning a remarkable income. You can really have fun at the job, and if you have what it takes to be successful, you'll come away "enriched" in more ways than one. - 23204

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IRS And Doeren Mayhew Provide Guidance on New COBRA Rules

By Doeren Mayhew

The bureau recently free guidance, in a question and respond format, addressing how employers are to lot and essay recovery of the new COBRA payment subsidy enacted under the American ecovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009 (P.L. 111-5). The Act provides that an individual who has been involuntarily terminated on or after September 1, 2008, through the end of 2009 is required to clear only 35% of the group health shelter payment to bonded COBRA continuation coverage (up to nine months).

The new guidance focuses on digit broad areas: Form preparation - the mechanics of how an employer recovers the COBRA payment subsidy through a payroll credit claimed on bureau Form 941, and administration and eligibility. The guidance also addresses common inquiries surrounding the timing of when the subsidy begins and ends.

How the IRS Subsidy Works: A past employee and his or her kinsfolk are "assistance suitable employees" if they are suitable for COBRA health shelter continuation coverage as a termination of any reflex termination occurring from September 1, 2008, through December 31, 2009. These individuals are required to clear only 35% of the group health shelter payment that would otherwise apply.

Under the new guidance Act, the "person to whom the premiums are payable" - generally, the employer - pays the other 65% of the COBRA continuation premium. The employer will then be reimbursed by means of a federal payroll tax credit claimed on Form 941.

The Payroll Credit Generally, an employer can claim the payroll credit for the COBRA premium subsidy on Form 941, Employer's Quarterly Federal Tax Return. To do so, the employer should enter the amount of any COBRA premium assistance payments paid on behalf of employees for that quarter on Line 12a. The amount entered should equal 65% of eligible workers' total COBRA premium payments - not amounts received from former employees.

In its Guidance, the IRS indicated that there has been some confusion surrounding the proper number of individuals to be reported on Line 12b as having received COBRA premium assistance reported on Line 12a. The guidance clarifies that only one individual should be counted for Line 12b purposes in a situation where a former employee has also secured coverage for other qualifying individuals such as a spouse and/or children.

Clarification has come that the COBRA premium reduction applies as of the first period of coverage beginning on or after February 17, 2009, for which a qualifying involuntary terminated employee is eligible to pay 35% of the premium. The exact date of coverage is contingent upon the period to which premiums are charged to the plan. The 35% premium subsidy generally applies until the earliest of three events: (1) when the former employee secures other health insurance coverage; (2) the date that is nine months after the first day of the first month for which the special COBRA premium subsidy provision applies; or (3) the date the individual is no longer eligible for COBRA continuation coverage. - 23204

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