Tips for Trading Ascending Wedges Short with CFDs
Traditional thinking suggests that the ascending wedge is most profitable when traded short. In reality this conclusion is not supported by the evidence. An ascending wedge is formed when the price action is contained within two lines. Both the bottom line and the top line slope up, but the bottom line has a steeper slope meeting the top line.
Ascending Wedges Profitable, No Surprise
Most ascending wedges would be expected to break down but in reality just 32%, break out to the downside making this pattern better when traded on the long side. 42% of these breakouts are profitable and on average the profit per trade is a meager 0.02% over a period of 8 days. The ascending wedge is certainly not one of the best chart patterns when it breaks to the downside, but applying some filters makes this pattern more attractive to trade.
Refine Your Entries
Surprisingly short breakouts work well in rising markets so the market, as well as the stock, should be rising or consolidating. The best results are achieved trading ascending wedges when the sector is falling or consolidating. So if the trend of the sector turns down, this sets up the best short trades.
Breakouts can occur anywhere along the length of the ascending wedge pattern. The best pattern length is between 5 and 30 days, so very short term patterns and very long term patterns are best avoided.
Ensure that the volume is supportive of the breakout, i.e. volume as the stock falls is greater than volume as the stock rises. Avoid patterns that have two closes the same prior to the breakout as this is often a sign of an illiquid stock. Lower highs or lower lows prior to the breakout produce better results.
Ascending Wedges Profitable Sometimes
Following a series of rules to determine which ascending wedge to trade can improve results dramatically. To do this however it is necessary to throw away over 1200 trades reducing the number of trades from 1275 down to just 74. By applying these filters ascending wedges are profitable on 48% of the trades and return an average of 1.46% per trade in 10 days. This is a profitable pattern to trade, if the conditions are right.
Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23204
Ascending Wedges Profitable, No Surprise
Most ascending wedges would be expected to break down but in reality just 32%, break out to the downside making this pattern better when traded on the long side. 42% of these breakouts are profitable and on average the profit per trade is a meager 0.02% over a period of 8 days. The ascending wedge is certainly not one of the best chart patterns when it breaks to the downside, but applying some filters makes this pattern more attractive to trade.
Refine Your Entries
Surprisingly short breakouts work well in rising markets so the market, as well as the stock, should be rising or consolidating. The best results are achieved trading ascending wedges when the sector is falling or consolidating. So if the trend of the sector turns down, this sets up the best short trades.
Breakouts can occur anywhere along the length of the ascending wedge pattern. The best pattern length is between 5 and 30 days, so very short term patterns and very long term patterns are best avoided.
Ensure that the volume is supportive of the breakout, i.e. volume as the stock falls is greater than volume as the stock rises. Avoid patterns that have two closes the same prior to the breakout as this is often a sign of an illiquid stock. Lower highs or lower lows prior to the breakout produce better results.
Ascending Wedges Profitable Sometimes
Following a series of rules to determine which ascending wedge to trade can improve results dramatically. To do this however it is necessary to throw away over 1200 trades reducing the number of trades from 1275 down to just 74. By applying these filters ascending wedges are profitable on 48% of the trades and return an average of 1.46% per trade in 10 days. This is a profitable pattern to trade, if the conditions are right.
Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23204
About the Author:
Jeff Cartridge is a private trader and created the website LearnCFDs.com Discover Patterns of Success

