Position Trading (Part II)

By Ahmad Hassam

After performing the fundamental analysis, the trader may be confident that the US Dollar is indicating overall weakness and the Euro is indicating overall strength for the coming six months.

Keeping in view the overall strength of Euro and the weakness of US Dollar, the next step for the position trader would be to open a long position in EUR/USD pair. This simultaneously provides the position trader with long Euro position and a short US Dollar position.

The long term directional bias has been formed by the position trader on the basis of fundamental analysis. Going long on Euro and at the same time short on US Dollar, this combined trading position fulfills the fundamental outlook of the position trader on both the currencies.

So position trading depends on using fundamental analysis in identifying a profitable position in the currency market and then using technical analysis in setting up the actual trade. However, pinpointing the best time for the trade entry as well as setting risk managed control strategies is best accomplished by using technical analysis.

So the position trading uses fundamental analysis in pairing strength with weakness. Now this concept fits extremely well with the forex markets as all currencies are traded in pairs unlike the stock market or for that matter other financial markets.

Position trading with the strength/weakness model is the most logical fundamental method for approaching long term forex trading. Trading forex requires a directional commitment on two currencies for each trade, so position trading is ideal for forex trading.

Buying one currency because it looks like it will become stronger while simultaneously selling another currency because it looks like it will become weaker is a better way to trade as compared to other financial markets.

What should be your first step to identify a strong/weak pair? Your first step as a position trader should be analyze the Central Bank policy statements, economic growth factors of these countries, global economic news etc to identify the currency with the strongest positive future prospects and the currency with the strongest negative future prospects at a given point in time. You will have to do fundamental research and analysis on all major currency pairs as a position trader.

You will have to study all the major currencies like US Dollar, Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc and the Japanese Yen. Suppose you identify GBP and USD as the strongest loser currencies by performing fundamental analysis while EUR and CHF as the strongest gainer currencies in the foreseeable future. Possible currency pairs for position trading could be long EUR/USD, long CHF/USD, short GBP/EUR and short GBP/CHF.

After this, you can enter the trades with the help of technical analysis and hold them as long as they move in the correct direction disregarding minor corrective swings and market noise because the price action is never ever linear. It is always up and down with minor trends superimposed on major trends.

Position trading maybe the most difficult method of approaching forex trading for the beginners! It requires a great deal of patience and faith in ones own analysis to weather the inevitable swings against the trading position. But if done properly it can be one of the most effective methods of extracting long term profits from the forex markets. - 23204

About the Author:

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. He is interested in day trading stocks and currencies. Try Strignano's Forex Signals free. Discover a revolutionary Forex Robot Trading System!

Investing In Foreclosed Properties

By Bill Xysillion

An incredible opportunity for real estate investors is investing in foreclosure. Foreclosed homes repeatedly sell at deep discounts; which provides buyers a straightforward opportunity to profit. Because foreclosed homes are often highly discounted, they can be purchased and sold with a large return. Homes that are facing or have vanished by way of foreclosure often meet the investing goals of both the long term investor and the investor that plans to flip the property.

Profiting From Foreclosure.

Plainly stated, a foreclosed home is one that has been repossessed by the lender for non-payment of the mortgage. Because generally mortgages are collateralized by the tangible land, a dwelling that has gone through foreclosure has recaptured by the bank. There are a lot of things that take place during this progression, and depending on which status the habitat is located, the procedure can actually take numerous months. As a outcome of the intricacy of the procedure as well as the length and the cost for both the bank and homeowner, there exists and occasion for investors to arbitrate and help both parties in the circumstances.

Throughout the period previous to a home is officially reposessed by the bank, the real estate investor may have an opportunity to jump in. Throughout this preforeclosure time, the bank is actively taking steps to eject the property owner and take back the house. For the duration of this time, the homeowners are in the situation that they are no longer making payments to the bank and at jeopardy of losing their credit rating, their dwelling, and even their pride. Throughout these periods, an investor can choose to intervene and buy the habitat at a discounted rate from the homeowner. Depending on the situation, the investor could be able to purchase the house for less than is owed on it (short sale) which presents an important occasion.

As mentioned before, the preforeclosure process may last many months. Nonetheless, if a declaration is not met involving the bank and land holder or a likely investor, the route ends with the bank placing the house up for community public sale.

The concluding step in a foreclosed home is when the neighboring sheriff comes to provide the eviction notice and paste the sale notice on the front door. At that point forward, the house is officially foreclosed.

Although it is much more competitive, when a dwelling is foreclosed upon, it can be bought at a discount at community public sale. During these auctions there are certainly deals to be had. However, it is important to realize that if the least amount bid is not met, the bank that owns the land may opt to get it back. Also, at municipal auction, you are competing with a number of added investors so you could not get as good quality of a deal as you would have previously. All in all though, investing in foreclosed homes can be a large way to profit. - 23204

About the Author:

Brian Nelso specializes in serving property investors find GRAR short sales and for sale by owner deals.? Visit us now for your free copy of our award winning real estate software

What Is Fibonacci Trading? (Part II)

By Ahmad Hassam

Fibonacci Price Retracements: How do you identify a possible support level once the market pulls back from a high? Fibonacci price retracements are run from a prior low to high swing using the ratios 0.382, 0.50, 0.618 and 0.786 to identify possible support levels as the market pulls back from a high.

Retracements are also run from a prior high to low swing using these same ratios looking resistance as the market bounces from a low. Most basic technical analysis software will run the Fibonacci retracement levels for you when you choose the swing you want to run them from.

Multiply the length of the swing (from low to high or high to low) by the retracement ratios and then subtract the result from the high if you are running low to high swings or add the results to the low if you are running high to low swings in case you want to understand how to calculate the Fibonacci price retracements yourself.

Fibonacci Price Extensions: Why you need to know the possible price extensions? You maybe of the opinion that the price action will extend beyond the previous support or resistance level! It is important to know possible price extensions to make stop loss and take profit decisions. Fibonacci price extensions are almost similar to the Fibonacci Price retracements in that they are run from the prior highs to lows using only two data points to run the price relationship or the prior lows to highs.

The difference between the Fibonacci price extensions and the Fibonacci price retracements is that we are running the relationship of a prior swing that are less than 100% or retracing the price move whereas with the extensions we are running the relationships of a prior swing that are extending beyond 100% of it.

These two techniques are named differently to indicate whether the price relationship is occurring within the prior swing or extending beyond it. Fibonacci Price Extensions are run from prior low to high swings using the ratios 1.272 and 1.618 for potential support. They are run from prior high to low swings using the ratios 1.272 and 1.618 for potential resistance.

Fibonacci Price Projections: We use 1.00 and 1.618 ratios to run the projections. Fibonacci price projections are run from three data points and are comparing swings in the same direction. They are run from a prior low to high swing and then projected from another low for possible resistance or they are run from prior high to low swing and projected from another high for possible support.

A price cluster is the coincidence of at least three Fibonacci relationships that come together within a relatively tight range. These price clusters identify key support and resistance zones that can be considered to be trade setups.

Three is just the minimum number required to meet the definition. A price cluster can also develop with a coincidence of more than three price relationships. You may see five to ten price relationships come together in a relatively tight range. There are times when you see these large clusters develop not too far from the current market activity and they tend to act like a magnet for price. - 23204

About the Author:

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. He is interested in day trading stocks and currencies. Try These 1500 Pips A Day Forex Signals From Heaven. Know Forex Rebellion!

Guide For Success in Penny Stock Trading

By Alfred Wayne

Penny stocks are a good way to earn a lot of money in a short time. Penny stock traders can gain a lot of profits in a short time but there are even many risks in this business. Here are some useful tips to help you in this risky investment vehicle.

It is difficult to find the stock that may become the next Microsoft. Such companies are unable to meet the criteria set by investment bankers for an IPO. They may not have prepared a good business plan. You have to find the company by doing your own research.

A company can be good if its shares are traded heavily every day. You should not make a decision based on Average shares traded. It may not indicate healthy trading. Consistent trades are required.

You should also look at the number of trades made. This tells you a lot about liquidity. A company whose shares are traded everyday by many people can be a good candidate. If the number of shares traded is low, it may be difficult for you to sell them in future.

Also try to find out whether the company has a good plan to make a profit. The company should not necessarily be making a profit as it may just be a startup. But you have to know whether there is any plan based on which they can earn in future.

After you buy penny stocks, you should decide when you want to exit. You should not go beyond that number. You should always stop at that number. It will be good for you not to be greedy.

You can find the good opportunities by subscribing to newsletters. You can also find information at various websites and newspapers. Before acting on the advice of a newsletter, check out the reputation of the person and act on his advice carefully.

Penny stock trading can make you loads of money. It is risky as well. You must be very careful and do your calculations before making a trade. - 23204

About the Author:

Investment in Stocks can pay huge returns if done the correct way. Penny Stocks can generate the highest profits in the shortest interval of time.

EUR/USD Currency Pair

By Ahmad Hassam

EUR/USD is the most liquid and the most popular currency pair among the forex traders. Trading currencies can be exciting and lucrative. Its a great market because of the way politics affect the trends. Elections, strikes, and sudden developments, both good and bad, can lead to significant trading profits if you stand ready to trade the euro is a convenient currency because it encompasses the policies and the economic activity and political environment of a volatile but predictable part of the world: Europe. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the global currency markets at the moment.

In the United States, where the free-market approach and a usually vigilant Federal Reserve make more frequent adjustments on interest rates. France, Italy, and Germany, the largest members of the European Union (EU), normally operate under high budget deficits and tend to keep their interest rates more stable.

The general tendency of the Fed is to make the dollar trend for very long periods of time in one general direction. Here are some general tendencies of the euro on which you need to keep tabs aside from the technical analysis:

- The European Central Bank is almost fanatical about inflation, given Germanys history of hyperinflation in the first half of the 20th century and the repercussions of that period, namely the rise of Hitler. That means that the European Central Bank raises interest rates more easily than it lowers them.

2) The US and the EU are two major trading partners. This gives EUR/USD currency pair very interesting characteristics. EUR/USD pair is affected by what is happening politically and economically both in Europe and the US. The European Central Banks actions become important when all other factors are equal, meaning politics are equally stable or unstable in the United States and Europe, and the two economies are growing. For example, if the U.S. economy is slowing down, money slowly starts to drift away from the dollar. In the past that meant money would move toward the Japanese yen; however, because the market knows that Japans central bank will sell yen, the default currency when the dollar weakens is often now the euro. USD is inversely correlated to the gold prices. All these facts should be taken into consideration while forming your bias about a particular currency pair.

- The flip side is that the market often sells the euro during political problems in the region, especially when the European economy is slowing and the economy in the United Kingdom (UK), which often moves along with the U.S. economy, is showing signs of strength.

As usual, you want to closely monitor major currencies and the cross rates. Its okay to form an opinion and have some expectations, but the final and only truth that should make you trade is what the charts are showing you. The direction that counts is the one in which the market is heading.

Combining fundamental analysis with the technical analysis can give you the edge as a forex trader. Fundamental analysis can help you determine the strong/weak currency pair. Use fundamental analysis to determine if USD is expected to lose value and EUR is expected to gain more strength that means that the currency pair EUR/USD is perfectly timed for swing trading. Use technical analysis to make the entry and exit decision. - 23204

About the Author:

Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading stocks and currencies. Try These 1500 Pips A Day Forex Signals From Heaven. Know Forex Rebellion!